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Thoughts on /ES /CL /BTC🤔

/ES

The pump continues… right when you are ready to throw the towel in is when the dump will happen so just be ready and act accordingly. TRADE WHAT YOU SEE, which is why I post UPSIDE/DOWNSIDE levels. You can play both sides of the tables. However, up here we are at 4145 resistance. Close to the 4180 zone before we shed off 500 points last dive in 10 days. So I’d be very nimble up here at the top!

Downside we are setting up for a beautiful few down days but when is the question. Let’s go over some stocks on the daily and I HIGHLY SUGGEST you read the WEEKLY PLAN to see exactly where we are in the bigger picture!

“Remember, the market transfers money from the impatient to the patient!”

/CL

Oil has a strong support above my 94.78 line. If we can push back over 103.6 vPOC we will see 105.02. However, that is were we rejected and have had that level noted for quite some time. So keep an eye on that because over that 107.26 we will see and higher. We are currently in a channel down see bottom right daily pic, If we break out of this to the upside we will se that run back to 110 possibly and higher.

/BTC - DOJI on the DAILY… uh oh…

Overall had a decent week but we closed with the doji and are met with resistance at the 24965 level right at the 50ema on the daily chart. From here I expect we slide down and back test the trend line around 20000/1900 zone. However, if we give up 19000 zone again and break 18525 we will see 16480 and 12750 are my targets eventually.


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🐦 BIRD’S EYE VIEW


Stocks We Will Be Reviewing

  • FUTURES - /ES & /NQ
  • ETFs - QQQ (tech) & IWM (small caps)
  • VIX - Volatility Index
  • STOCKS - AAPL / MSFT / AMD / NVDA / AMZN / GOOGL / TSLA

EXAMPLE of Daily SubStack:

  • Daily Upside/Downside Levels that are more precise than the big picture weekly charts. Both can be used if you swing trade!
  • Live streams with Q&A (zoom meeting style to discuss with other traders as well) to go over stocks and learn tips and tricks on my style of trading!

IF you would like to JOIN in Discord - DM ME In Discord @AXELORD


Stocks We Will Be Reviewing

  • FUTURES - /ES & /NQ
  • ETFs - QQQ (tech) & IWM (small caps)
  • VIX - Volatility Index
  • STOCKS - AAPL / MSFT / AMD / NVDA / AMZN / GOOGL / TSLA

/ES

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 3971 - Need over 4116 to hold for us to push toward 4165 and 4179. If we manage to run really hard 4306 vPOC could get tested.
  • OPEN Below Weekly POC - 3971 - Below 4073 we can see 4030 then 4007. If we continue the dive down 3965 then 3910 could be exposed. Crater = 3834 zone and lower.

POC: 3971  / VH: 4050 / VL: 3912


SPY

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 395 - 411.82 we hold we can see 417.22 and possibly meet resistance. If we overshoot not much till 429.96 but that would be over extended by a long shot imo.
  • Below weekly POC - 394 - Below 406 we can head down to 395.6 vPOC then 389.31 .  Eventually test 384.18 and 380.74. If all fails 378 and 372 are exposed.

POC: 395  / VH: 404 / VL: 389


/NQ

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC 12432 -  Need over 12880 for us to see continued up side. From there we can test 12077 and 12174 range. If we manage to break out again 13555 is the next zone target.
  • Below Weekly POC - 12432 - Below 12880 we can see12800 zone tested. If that breaks we head down to last weeks weekly POC 12432. If that breaks we head down to 12295 zone then 12045 zone. If we collapse 11903 is exposed then 11742 and 11483 can follow.

POC: 12432 / VH: 12762 / VL: 12175


VIX

Game Plan: FALLING WEDGE

  • Back over 24.69 we will push higher and eventually see 28.42
  • 21.07 needs to hold as it would be the 3rd bounce of the falling wedge down we have.

QQQ

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 302 -  Need to hold above 313 zone for us to push higher. We could see 320.87 zone hit then 329.96 is next up possibly!
  • Below Weekly POC - 302 - Since we are so high off POC downside targets are as follows. Below 313 we can head back to VH 310 zone. Below that 307 zone is next then POC at 302. If that fails we can head down to close the gap and test 293 zone then 289. If we dive 280 where support could be found if not 276.

POC: 302 / VH: 307 / VL: 296


IWM

Game Plan:

  • OPEN Above POC - 179 - Well over weekly POC right now but at my 187 vPOC. Of that if we can hold we can possibly test 191.56 then 193.97 on an overshoot!

OPEN Below POC - 179 - If we reject 187.89 we can head back down to 181.11 zone then it gets choppy around 178 POC area. Below 178.13 we can see 176.44 possibly but if that breaks not much support till 173.14. Could get choppy around 171 again but support seems to be around 168.6 and 166 zone so just note that zone.

GAPS: 175.01 > 174.34 / 168.34 > 165.71 / 157.71 > 155.89

POC: 179 / VH: 184 / VL: 178


AAPL

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 157 - Over 160.21 if we hold we can tetest 163 zone then push to 166.49 possibly. If we break that 171.29 zone is next up for testing then 173.58 if we manage to really run.
  • Below Weekly POC - 157 -  Below 160.21 we close the gap and head down to 156/7 zone and then 154.19 if we continue to pull back. If we loose that we see 151.42 zone then 148.07. If all fails 145.09 vPOC could get tested then 143.59.

POC: 157 / VH: 157 / VL: 151


MSFT

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 250 - We are 30pts over POC so, Over 282.18 resistance we can see 290.64. If we continue to run we can see gap closed and a run to 296.17
  • Below Weekly POC - 250 - Since we are 30pts over POC here are the downside levels from the top. Currently at 282.18 POC resistance. Below that we can head to 273 VH one. If that fails 267.97 is next and below that 263. If we continue to pull back below 258.99 we close the gap and head down to 250 and then 245.

POC: 250 / VH: 278 / VL: 249


AMD

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 85 - Needs to get over 94.8 if we can hold over we can see 99.14 then 104 tested. If we continue to push we can see 107 then 110.87 zone tested.
  • Below Weekly POC - 85 -  Below 91.37 we will see 87.73 then POC tested at 85.94. If that fails we can head down to 81.03 then 77.08 vPOC

POC: 85 / VH: 90 / VL: 84


NVDA

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 178 - Need over 181.97 we can then push to 186.84 vPOC. Through that 192.07 then 195.1 is next and resistance at 199.29 again.
  • Below Weekly POC - 178 - If we do reject here at 181.97 zone we will had back down to 176.75 then 172.04 then test 166.54. If we fall 160.69 then 158.09 zone could get tested to close the other gap.

POC: 178 / VH: 182 / VL: 168


AMZN

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 136 - Need to hold above 134 zone really if we are going to test 139 then 142 zone. If we really push 146.25 could get tested where resistance is at.
  • Below Weekly POC - 136 - If we roll over immediately we can head back down to close the gap but it may not be a straight line. 129.58 is first up then 126.51 . Below that 122.42 to close the gap. If we continue the decent 113.81 zone could get tested.

POC: 136 / VH: 137 / VL: 120


GOOGL

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 105 - Need to stay over 116.66 if we are going to push 118.97 then after that 123.23 we could see where meaningful resistance is at.
  • Below Weekly POC - 105 -  Since we are 10+ pts over POC here are the downside levels. Below 116.66 We can see 113.16 then 111.23. If that fails we dive to 108.68 then possibly head to 105 zone.

POC: 105 / VH: 113  / VL: 104


TSLA

Game Plan:

  • Above Weekly POC - 810 - Need over to hold over 875.7 vPOC. If we really push 916.14 is in play then 956.29 on an overshoot and eventually 10006 vPOC.
  • Below Weekly POC - 810 - Since we are well over POC here are downside levels. Below 875 we head down to 847.95. If that breaks POC zone around 810-816 could get tested. If that break 763 follows then 747.

POC: 810 / VH: 848 / VL: 784


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Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, bonds trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. Reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are the courtesy of Think or Swim. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them.

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